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Market Quality and Strength Falter

Over the past week my core measures of market quality and strength fell below zero. One thing of note is that perceptions of risk aren’t rising much (yet). So, we’re seeing core weakness without a lot of concern. We’ll just have to wait to see if the weakness turns to fear or if this is simply a whip saw.┬áThe weakness in market quality and strength changes the core portfolio allocations as┬ánoted below. As always, use your own personal risk tolerance to structure your own portfolio. Volatility Hedged portfolio: 100% Long (Since 5/7/2018) Long / Short Hedged portfolio: 70% long high beta stocks and 30% short the S&P 500 Index (or use an ETF like SH) Long / Cash portfolio: 40% long and 60% cash  

 
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Market Quality Goes Positive

Over the past week my measures of market quality have gone positive. This changes the portfolio allocations as follows: Long / Cash portfolio: 80% long and 20% cash Long / Short Hedged portfolio: 90% long high beta stocks and 10% short the S&P 500 Index (or use an ETF like SH) Volatility Hedged portfolio: 100% long (Since 5/7/2018)

 
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Strengthening Indicators

All of my market health indicators are strengthening. Most notably my measures of risk and strength have moved from negative to positive. This changes the portfolio allocations as follows: Long / Cash portfolio: 60% long and 40% cash Long / Short porfolio: 80% long high beta stocks and 20% short the S&P 500 Index (or use an ETF like SH) Volatility Hedged portfolio: 100% long (since 5/7/2018)

 
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