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Most Bearish Stocks on Twitter

Most bearish stocks on Twitter

Below are the bearish intensity scores for the most bearish stocks on Twitter over the past week and month.

 
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Most Active Stocks on Twitter

Top 25 most active stocks on Twitter

Below are the intensity scores for the most active stocks on Twitter over the past week and month.

 
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No End in Sight

Twitter sentiment support and resistance for the stock market

Over the past week all of our core market health indicators improved, however, none of them improved enough to change our core portfolio allocations. Market Positives We continue to see price move higher in the S&P 500 Index (SPX) while perceptions of risk go lower.  Our measures of risk are signalling that investors and traders have little long term concern.  Our measures of the economy, market quality, trend, and strength all improved late this week, while measures of market breadth are at historical levels. This signals that even reluctant buyers are entering the market.  Our investor contentment index shot substantially higher over the past two weeks which is another sign of money flowing into stocks. Our Twitter sentiment indicator for the S&P 500 Index (SPX) is painting moderately high readings on up days and fairly flat reading on down days. This is a positive sign for a market making new highs.  Even though there continues to be a very large number of tweets concerned with overbought conditions there are enough

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Twitter Top 10 Portfolio up 28% YTD

Performance of the Top 10 Bullish Stocks on Twitter

Our Twitter Top 10 portfolio had another good week.  It is up 4.62% from the 3rd of this month and up 28.34% from the beginning of the year.  3D Systems (DDD) and Ford (F) are the big winner so far this month with gains of 16% and 9% respectively.  All the other holdings are up between 1% and 4%.  Below are a performance chart and details of the current holdings. Prices as of about 2:45 Eastern on 5/17/2013. Start Date Symbol Shares Start Price Start Total End Price End Total % Gain / Loss 5/3/2013 $LNKD 71 175.59 12466.89 182.65 12968.15 4.02% $DDD 315 39.88 12562.20 46.56 14666.40 16.75% $F 903 13.83 12488.49 15.07 13608.21 8.97% $UPS 130 86.09 11191.70 88.49 11503.70 2.79% $HOT 173 65.21 11281.33 67.38 11656.74 3.33% $JNJ 146 85.75 12519.50 87.81 12820.26 2.40% $SBUX 203 61.87 12559.61 63.78 12947.34 3.09% $COH 216 58.25 12582.00 59 12744.00 1.29% $KO 298 42.24 12587.52 42.68 12718.64 1.04% $V 68 179.54 12208.72 183.52 12479.36 2.22% Cash 229.54 229.54 Totals 122677.50

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Almost There

Stock Market Strength and Trend

Our core market health indicators all improved this week.  Early in the week several of them were flat to down, but the rally on Friday brought them back.  They are all on the verge of turning positive.  Even our measures of the economy are starting to show some strength.  We should be adding more exposure to our core portfolios by next Friday unless the market turns down significantly.

 
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Most Bullish Stocks on Twitter

Below are the intensity scores for the most bullish stocks on Twitter over the past week and month.

 
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Most Bearish Stocks on Twitter

Below are the intensity scores for the most bearish stocks on Twitter over the past week and month.

 
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Most Active Stocks on Twitter

Below are the intensity scores for the 25 most active stocks on Twitter for the past week and month. Here is the status of the 50 most active stocks on Twitter. 70% have Twitter sentiment reading that confirm bullish chart patterns.  Very few bearish stocks over the past week.

 
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Breakout Holds

Twitter Sentiment

Just a quick update on our Twitter indicators this weekend due to Mother’s Day. Our Twitter sentiment indicator for the S&P 500 Index (SPX) continues to confirm the breakout above 1600, however, the daily indicator is showing some lower prints.  As the market pushed higher above the 1625 range we started to see a lot of tweets indicating traders thought the market was overbought.  Those tweets mentioned technical indicators such as Bollinger bands, trend channels, the McClellan oscillator, and the distance the market is above its moving averages. This suggests that traders believe the market is due for a short term pull back. Smoothed sentiment is holding up well because bullish and bearish sentiment is fairly evenly matched even with all the mentions of overbought conditions. The trend of smoothed sentiment is up and it is above zero indicating that market participants have an overall bullish bias. Twitter support and resistance levels are showing a small layer of support at 1625 on SPX and a strong floor below the market

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Getting Close to Adding Exposure

All of our core market health indicators improved again this week.  None of them rose enough to change our portfolio allocations, however, it appears that over the next few weeks we should be adding exposure and removing hedges.  The only thing that we can see that would change this view would be a very sharp and substantial sell off in the market. Our measures of risk improved substantially which continues to confirm that market participants just don’t believe the market will suffer a deep correction.  Our measures of the economy, market trend, quality, and strength all rose very quickly this past week as the S&P 500 Index held firm and continued to move up after the break above 1600.  

 
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