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Home Archive for category "Social Media Stock Market Indicators"
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Most Bullish Stocks on Twitter

140415BullWeek

Below are charts with the bullish intensity scores for the most bullish stocks on Twitter for the week and month ended 4/15/14.

 
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Most Bearish Stocks on Twitter

140415BearWeek

Below are charts with the bearish intensity scores for the most bearish stocks on Twitter for the week and month ended 4/15/14.

 
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Most Active Stocks on Twitter

140415ActiveWeek

Below are charts with the total intensity scores for the most active stocks on Twitter for the week and month ended 4/15/14.

 
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Most Bullish Stocks on StockTwits

140415StockTwitsWeek

Below are charts of with the bullish intensity scores of the most bullish stocks on StockTwits for the week and month ended 4/15/14.

 
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Counter Trend Bounce Signal for Silver

140414slv

Today at the close a counter trend bounce signal was issued for Silver (SLV) from the Twitter stream. This signal comes from fairly high levels of sentiment with a four month confirming uptrend line. The short term down trend line has been broken to the upside which creates the signal.  Recent signals in the precious metals space have been short lived so be nimble if you trade against the trend. Here’s a post with details of how we use Twitter and StockTwits to trade stocks.

 
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Consolidation Warning for S&P 500 Index

140414spx

Today at the close a consolidation warning for the S&P 500 Index (SPX) was issued from the Twitter stream. As I noted over the weekend, the signals have been coming late over the past several months as traders seem to be chasing price. The nature of the current bounce should give more clues as to the strength of the market. This signal has plenty of room to fail so I’ll be watching to see if the Twitter stream cheers the bounce or fades it.

 
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Social Media Breadth Following Market Down

140414TwitterBreadth

Breadth from Twitter is following the market down, but not as rapidly might be expected. The number of stocks in the bullish list is at the lowest point this year, however the number of stocks in the bearish list isn’t rising rapidly. Many traders on Twitter believe the momentum stocks are due for a bounce which is causing fewer bearish tweets. Breadth from StockTwits is catching down to breadth from Twitter.  The number of stocks in the bullish list is shrinking, while the bearish list is holding fairly steady.

 
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End of Buy Signal for Apple

The buy signal for Apple (AAPL) that was issued on 3/12/14 has closed. AAPL was dragged down with the rest of the market so this signal just couldn’t get any momentum from the Twitter stream.

 
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Make or Break Time

By almost all the measures I track it’s make or break time for the market.  I’m seeing a pattern in both core and ancillary indicators that has often marked lows in the market over the past few years.  Each time our indicators were close to signalling an extreme warning the market promptly turned back up and resumed the rally out of the 2009 lows. Over the longer term when our indicators have reached these levels the market rallied 35% of the time and had an extended decline or choppy period 65% of the time.  As you know, I can’t see the future so all we do is go with the odds.  As a result, our core portfolios raised cash and/or added a hedge yesterday.  Here are some highlights of things I’m seeing that makes me cautious. The ratio between near term volatility (VIX) and 3-Month volatility (VXV) is currently rising as a result of both VIX and VXV moving up.  This is a condition that has only occurred a few

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Twitter Top 10 Follows Market Down

The Twitter Top 10 portfolio is down 2.91% since the new picks last week. This is slightly worse performance than the S&P 500 Index (SPX) which is down about 2.4%.  The under performance is mostly a result of Kandi Technologies (KNDI) which is down nearly 12%. Six of the stocks in the portfolio are performing better than SPX as the portfolio rotated to larger cap stocks when momentum stocks failed. Below is a performance chart and details of the current holdings. Start Date Symbol Shares Start Price Start Total End Price End Total % Gain / Loss 4/4/2014 $MSFT 292 39.87 11642.04 39.35 11490.20 -1.30% $HIMX 1021 11.43 11670.03 10.61 10832.81 -7.17% $GTAT 761 16.90 12860.90 16.26 12373.86 -3.79% $QCOM 148 78.53 11622.44 78.11 11560.28 -0.53% $BIDU 73 149.35 10902.55 149.02 10878.46 -0.22% $KNDI 687 14.08 9672.96 12.40 8518.80 -11.93% $F 724 16.13 11678.12 15.74 11395.76 -2.42% $AA 925 12.63 11682.75 12.40 11470.00 -1.82% $K 183 63.77 11669.91 65.33 11955.39 2.45% $GMCR 113 102.99 11637.87 99.28 11218.64 -3.60% Cash 116.05

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