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Weakest Stocks on Twitter

140506TwitterWeakWeek

Below are charts with the weakness/bearish intensity scores for the weakest stocks on Twitter for the week and month ending 5/6/14.  

 
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Strongest Stocks on StockTwits

140429StockTwitsStrongWeek

Below are lists with the strength scores of the strongest / most bullish stocks on the StockTwits stream over the last week and month (ending 4/29/14).  

 
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Most Bullish Stocks on StockTwits

140415StockTwitsWeek

Below are charts of with the bullish intensity scores of the most bullish stocks on StockTwits for the week and month ended 4/15/14.

 
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Most Bullish Stocks on StockTwits

Below are charts with the bullish intensity scores of the most bullish stocks on StockTwits for the week and month ended 4/8/14. Notice that neither the weekly or the monthly list had 25 stocks. This is another illustration of the damage done to sentiment in the most active stocks on StockTwits. Another thing to notice is the momentum stocks have been replaced by companies that many perceive as safety stocks.

 
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Most Bullish Stocks on StockTwits

Below are charts with the bullish intensity scores for the most bullish stocks on StockTwits for the week and month ending 4/1/14.

 
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Sharp Drop in Twitter Top 10 Portfolio

Over the last week the Twitter Top 10 Portfolio fell sharply. It is now down over 9% from the first Friday of the month.  Every stock in the portfolio is down over the period and four of them are down more than 10%. The decline puts the portfolio below the performance of the S&P 500 Index (SPX) from the start of 2013.  As I mentioned in the StockTwits portfolio post, the poor performance of the portfolio is one warning sign of many for the market. Below is a performance chart and details of the current holdings. Start Date Symbol Shares Start Price Start Total End Price End Total % Gain / Loss 3/7/2014 $BIDU 73 182.04 13288.92 153.75 11223.75 -15.54% $BBRY 1345 9.91 13328.95 8.98 12078.10 -9.38% $BAC 734 17.33 12720.22 16.92 12419.28 -2.37% $GTAT 761 17.50 13317.50 17.49 13309.89 -0.06% $PCLN 10 1358.04 13580.40 1202.00 12020.00 -11.49% $KNDI 687 19.40 13327.80 16.56 11376.72 -14.64% $EBAY 225 59.06 13288.50 55.21 12422.25 -6.52% $CMG 22 593.41 13055.02 569.45 12527.90 -4.04% $IRBT

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Continued Carnage in StockTwits Top 10 Portfolio

Over the past week the StockTwits Top 10 portfolio continued to fall. It is now down 6.74% from the first Friday of the month.  Seven of the stocks in the portfolio are down more than 5% and three are down more than 10%.  The largest gainer is only up 3%. If you don’t know by now, the portfolio performance should alert you that the most loved (and momentum) stocks are being sold in favor of value stocks. Although a rotation to value can suggest that investors are moving to safety, it isn’t predictive of a future market decline.  There are often times in the market when momentum and growth stocks get over valued which results in money managers taking profit and moving the money to under valued stocks.  They do this not from a belief that the market is going to fall, rather a belief that value will out perform growth and momentum going forward.  As a result, profit taking in the most loved stocks is just one piece of

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Twitter Top 10 Portfolio Recovers a Bit

The Twitter Top 10 portfolio recovered a bit over the past week, but is still lagging the S&P 500 Index (SPX) from the first Friday of the year.  As I mentioned last week, the picks just haven’t been able to keep momentum.  If you have time take a look at the charts for this month’s picks and you’ll see some ugly patterns that don’t bode well for the market as a whole. Below is a performance chart and details for this month’s picks. Start Date Symbol Shares Start Price Start Total End Price End Total % Gain / Loss 3/7/2014 $BIDU 73 182.04 13288.92 159.58 11649.34 -12.34% $BBRY 1345 9.91 13328.95 9.48 12750.60 -4.34% $BAC 734 17.33 12720.22 17.77 13043.18 2.54% $GTAT 761 17.50 13317.50 18.99 14451.39 8.51% $PCLN 10 1358.04 13580.40 1290.05 12900.50 -5.01% $KNDI 687 19.40 13327.80 19.02 13066.74 -1.96% $EBAY 225 59.06 13288.50 57.11 12849.75 -3.30% $CMG 22 593.41 13055.02 611.33 13449.26 3.02% $IRBT 307 43.35 13308.45 42.33 12995.31 -2.35% $ZNGA 2388 5.58 13325.04 5.01 11963.88 -10.22%

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StockTwits Top 10 Portfolio Stalls

The StockTwits Top 10 portfolio fell over the past week. Like the Twitter Top 10 portfolio the stocks picked this month are stalling, consolidating, or falling even as the market moves to new highs.  The lack of momentum suggest that rotation and churning is occurring in the market. Below is a performance chart and details of the current picks. Start Date Symbol Shares Start Price Start Total End Price End Total % Gain / Loss 3/7/2014 $ZNGA 1919 5.58 10708.02 5.02 9633.38 -10.04% $BIDU 58 182.04 10558.32 159.44 9247.52 -12.41% $AMD 2712 3.95 10712.40 4.09 11092.08 3.54% $SLV 533 20.08 10702.64 19.58 10436.14 -2.49% $EBAY 181 59.06 10689.86 56.97 10311.57 -3.54% $NOK 1347 7.95 10708.65 7.32 9860.04 -7.92% $REGN 32 328.11 10499.52 323.29 10345.28 -1.47% $AA 881 12.16 10712.96 12.05 10616.05 -0.90% $GE 410 26.13 10713.30 25.58 10487.80 -2.10% $ANR 2232 4.80 10713.60 4.46 9954.72 -7.08% Cash 388.91 388.91 Totals 107108.18 102373.49 -4.42%

 
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Twitter Top 10 Portfolio Dips Below S&P 500

For the first time since tracking the Twitter Top 10 Portfolio it has dipped below the performance of the S&P 500 index (SPX).  It had a very bad week and is down 5.86% over the period which was enough that SPX now out performs from the first Friday in 2013.  The picks in the portfolio have had a hard time sustaining momentum since the beginning of the year.  This could be giving us a signal about the market as a whole.  When the most loved stocks can’t continue their march higher it suggests that traders and investors are raising cash or waiting for better prices before buying.  I expect a momentum/relative strength/sentiment screen to outperform on up trends, but under perform at the beginning of down trends.  As a result, the current weakness in the portfolio could be warning about a longer term top in the market.  It will be interesting to see how it plays out. Below is a perfomance chart and details of the current holdings. Start Date

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