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Maybe A Dip

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I’ve been waiting for a short term top for almost three weeks now. Maybe we’ve finally got one. If this is the case it’s time to watch market internals to see if they hold up or fail in the face of lower prices. One of the things I’m watching most carefully is the percent of stocks above their 200 day moving average. Long time readers know I like to see them stay above the 60% level. My reason for concern is that many previously loved stocks are flirting with their 200 dma. The market is at a point where these stocks need to see higher prices that keep them (or get them) above their 200 dma or they’ll likely drag the market lower.

 
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Most Active Stocks on Twitter

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Below are charts with the total intensity scores of the most active stocks on Twitter for the week and month ending 5/6/14.  

 
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Most Active Stocks on Twitter

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Below are charts with the total intensity scores for the most active stocks on Twitter for the week and month ended 4/15/14.

 
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Most Active Stocks on Twitter

Below are the intensity scores for the most active stocks on Twitter for the week and month ended 4/8/14.

 
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Broad Based Selling Without Fear

Published on April 5, 2014 by in Market Comments

Last weekend I mentioned that the stock market was undergoing rotation, however, no real fear was associated with the selling.  This week we have a market that looks like it may have started some broad based selling, but again without much fear from market participants.  During the week most of the indicators that I follow strengthened. Then came Friday, which showed an entirely different character than I’ve seen in a long time.  It reversed the gains in our internal indicators and also created some concerning chart patterns in individual stocks. As you know, I try to give a few things each week to watch as the most important clue to the direction of the market.  This week what I’ll be watching most closely is the action of the stocks that had held up while momentum, bio tech, and social media stocks were being ravaged by selling. On Friday, many of these stocks were sold aggressively along with stocks that have been weak since the first of March. Google (GOOG) is

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Most Active Stocks on Twitter

Below are charts with the most active stocks on Twitter for the week and month ending 4/1/14.

 
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Most Active Stocks on Twitter

Below are charts with the total intensity scores for the most active stocks on Twitter for the week and month ended 3/25/14.

 
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Most Active Stocks on Twitter

Below are charts with the intensity scores for the most active stocks on Twitter for the week and month ended 3/18/14.

 
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End of Buy Signal for Google

At the close on 3/14/14 the buy signal for Google (GOOG) that was issued on 8/20/13 was finally closed. This was a trade that just kept on giving and ended with a 35% gain. Sentiment has now broken below the trend that created the buy signal which officially closes the trade. We currently have only two buy signals left open which is another sign that the market may be forming a top. When long positions are being closed, consolidation warnings are starting to show up, and very few new long signals are being generated it suggests that traders on Twitter and StockTwits are getting cautious.  The two open signals are Yelp (YELP) and Bank of America (BAC).  Both of them are showing weakness and will need to rally quickly to save them from closing.

 
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Most Active Stocks on Twitter

Below are charts with the intensity scores for the most active stocks on Twitter for the week and month ending 3/11/14.

 
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