The current consolidation in the market is causing more stocks to warn or show negative chart and sentiment patterns. In addition, more are showing up with sentiment readings that don’t give a clear indication of the stock’s current status. However, we still have 62% of the 50 most active stocks with positive chart and sentiment readings. The stocks that show negative patterns are roughly the same number as what we saw during the first of May during the first part of the current consolidation. This is somewhat encouraging for the bulls since the market is quite a bit lower, but chart patterns aren’t breaking down and sentiment isn’t showing a build in extreme bearishness either. Below is a chart of the status of the 50 most active stocks. In addition, there are charts showing the intensity scores for the most active stocks for the week and month ending 6/25/13.
Below are the intensity scores for the most active stocks on the Twitter stream for the week and month ending 6/18/13. Apple (AAPL) continues to dominate, but Google (GOOG) and Tesla Motors (TSLA) are starting to see a lot of tweets.
Below is the status of the most Active stocks on Twitter. Here’s a post that explains our Stock Status Categories. The next two charts show the intensity scores for the the most active stocks on Twitter for the week and month ending 6/11/2013.
Below are charts with the bearish intensity scores for the most bearish stocks on Twitter over the past week and month.
Below are charts with the status of the 50 Most active stocks on Twitter and the intensity scores for the 25 most active stocks on a weekly and monthly basis.
We haven’t commented much on the general market and market internals lately due to the completely boring nature of this latest rally. When a rally is being fueled by everyone believing it will go up due to outside forces (central banks printing money and buying debt) nothing else matters. As a result, we haven’t been able to pinpoint anything interesting that would give you (or us) any insight into what the market is doing. Well we’re finally seeing some interesting action under the covers. The S&P 500 Index (SPX) has given back just 3% from intra-day peak to trough and barely over 1% on closing prices. Not very exciting, but everyone is suddenly asking if this is finally the top we’ve all been waiting for. For some insight we like to look at individual charts and see if everything is being affected or if the selling is localized. Broad based selling is bad. Localized selling is good…if it results in rotation…which is what we believe is causing the current sloppiness
Below are charts of the intensity scores for the most bearish stocks on Twitter over the last week and month.
Below are charts of the intensity scores for the most active stocks on Twitter over the past week and month. Here is the status of the fifty most active stocks on Twitter. We’re starting to see more consolidation warnings and more unclear charts.
When markets rally strongly almost everything goes up with them. That has certainly been the case with this current rally. Over 90% of stocks in the S&P 500 Index are above both their 50 and 200 day moving averages. So if you’ve been making long trades you probably feel like a genius. Of the stocks well follow and trade with Twitter sentiment almost every long trade with the trend over the last two months is in positive territory. This is what happens in fast moving up trends so we’re not patting ourselves on the back. We know that a pull back will happen eventually and the success of our trade signals will eventually be tested by lower prices. Today’s price action in the major indexes hints that we might finally be getting the price reversal that many bears have been waiting for. With that in mind we thought it would be a good time to show some of the long trades that we’ve mentioned on Twitter @DownsideHedge over the past