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StockTwits Top 10 Portfolio Up 3.37% this Month

The StockTwits Top 10 Portfolio picked up another percentage point this week.  It is now up 3.37% for the month (and year).  The gains are a result of strong runs by Solar City (SCTY) up 27.8% and Yelp (YELP) up 21.6% in the past two weeks.  Groupon (GRPN) and Walter Energy (WLT) are the current drags on the portfolio down more than 9% and 11% respectively. Below is a performance chart and details of the current holdings. Start Date Symbol Shares Start Price Start Total End Price End Total % Gain / Loss 1/3/2014 $SCTY 168 59.27 9957.36 75.79 12732.72 27.87% $BAC 620 16.41 10174.20 17.08 10589.60 4.08% $YHOO 249 40.12 9989.88 39.98 9955.02 -0.35% $BIDU 57 175.28 9990.96 170.37 9711.09 -2.80% $GRPN 828 12.08 10002.24 10.97 9083.16 -9.19% $MA 12 830.31 9963.72 825.62 9907.44 -0.56% $WLT 626 15.98 10003.48 14.16 8864.16 -11.39% $CELG 58 169.81 9848.98 167.96 9741.68 -1.09% $YELP 148 67.66 10013.68 82.29 12178.92 21.62% $GMCR 132 75.75 9999.00 79.92 10549.44 5.50% Cash 56.5 56.50 Totals 100000.00 103369.73

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StockTwits Top 10 Portfolio Up 2.34%

The StockTwits Top 10 Portfolio has started the year with strong returns. Over the past week it is up 2.34% while the S&P 500 index (SPX) is essentially flat.  The majority of the gains are due to Yelp (YELP), Solar City (SCTY), and Green Mountain Coffee (GMCR).   The drags on the portfolio are Walter Energy (WLT) and Groupon (GRPN). It is beating the Twitter Top 10 portfolio which is performing closer to the market over the week. Below is a performance chart and details of the current holdings. Start Date Symbol Shares Start Price Start Total End Price End Total % Gain / Loss 1/3/2014 $SCTY 168 59.27 9957.36 66.01 11089.68 11.37% $BAC 620 16.41 10174.20 16.68 10341.60 1.65% $YHOO 249 40.12 9989.88 41.15 10246.35 2.57% $BIDU 57 175.28 9990.96 178.25 10160.25 1.69% $GRPN 828 12.08 10002.24 11.5 9522.00 -4.80% $MA 12 830.31 9963.72 835.9 10030.80 0.67% $WLT 626 15.98 10003.48 13.84 8663.84 -13.39% $CELG 58 169.81 9848.98 166.19 9639.02 -2.13% $YELP 148 67.66 10013.68 80.69 11942.12 19.26% $GMCR 132

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Twitter Top 10 Portfolio Flat

The Twitter Top 10 portfolio is flat to start the year. It is performing essentially the same as the S&P 500 index (SPX). It is up .18% from the first Friday of the year.  The drags on the portfolio are Himax Technologies (HIMX), Kandi Technologies (KNDI), and Groupon (GRPN).  Solar City (SCTY) and Baidu (BIDU) account for the majority of the gains. Below is a performance chart and the details for the current holdings. Start Date Symbol Shares Start Price Start Total End Price End Total % Gain / Loss 1/3/2014 $HIMX 925 14.63 13532.75 13.64 12617.00 -6.77% $MA 16 830.81 13292.96 835.71 13371.36 0.59% $DDD 140 96.42 13498.80 94.07 13169.80 -2.44% $BIDU 77 168.71 12990.67 178.00 13706.00 5.51% $YHOO 335 40.12 13440.20 41.19 13798.65 2.67% $SCTY 228 59.27 13513.56 66.06 15061.68 11.46% $CELG 79 169.81 13414.99 166.57 13159.03 -1.91% $LVS 172 78.35 13476.20 80.16 13787.52 2.31% $GRPN 1120 12.08 13529.60 11.50 12880.00 -4.80% $KNDI 1018 13.29 13529.22 12.68 12908.24 -4.59% Cash 437.08 437.08 Totals 134656.03 134896.36 0.18%

 
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Introducing the StockTwits Top 10 Portfolio

I’ve finally collected enough data from the StockTwits stream to create a StockTwits Top 10 portfolio. It is similar to the Twitter Top 10 portfolio, but has a few differences. First, (and most obvious) it only uses quantified StockTwits messages to select the stocks each month.  The Twitter portfolio uses quantified tweets that can contain messages pushed to Twitter from some StockTwits members. Second, I use a smaller set of about 100 stocks as the starting point for the StockTwits portfolio.  The Twitter portfolio selects from about 1000.  As a result, the StockTwits portfolio will be weighted to more well known stocks. The rules for stock selection are simple.  On the first Friday of every month the ten stocks with the highest bullish intensity scores from the previous month are placed in the portfolio.  Basically, the system picks the stocks that people on StockTwits are buying, messaging bullish fundamental or technical analysis, or mentioning in a positive way. The underlying theory is that these stocks should provide a good starting

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Twitter Top 10 Portfolio Up 34% in 2013

The Twitter Top 10 Portfolio ended this month up 3.39% (I’ll update the exact returns and prices after the close).  For the year it was up 34.4% against the S&P 500 Index (SPX) gaining about 25%. Please note, this portfolio records its returns from the first Friday of each year. Both the stocks in the portfolio and SPX had 1/4/2013 as the date for their starting prices. It’s the first Friday of the month so it’s time for January picks.  Two stocks stayed in the portfolio from last month. They are Yahoo (YHOO) and Baidu (BIDU).   Below are the rest of the new symbols for this month. HIMX, MA, DDD, SCTY, CELG, LVS, GRPN, KNDI Here are the next five symbols in the list. XOM, SINA, V, SSYS, WYNN Below is a performance chart for the year.  I’ll add the details of last month’s stocks sometime after the close.  At the close the portfolio was up 3.57% for the month and 34.65% for the year. Below are the details of

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Most Bullish Stocks on Twitter

Below are charts with the bullish intensity scores of the most bullish stocks on Twitter for the week and month ending 11/19/13.  

 
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Most Active Stocks on Twitter

Below are charts with the intensity scores for the most active stocks on Twitter for the week and month ending 11/12/13.

 
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Twitter Top 10 Portfolio Up 29.5% YTD

The Twitter Top 10 Portfolio is up 4.12% this month (from the first Friday) and 29.5% from the first Friday of the year.  The S&P 500 Index (SPX) is up 2.24% for the month and 15.42% from the first Friday of the year. The out performance this month comes from several stocks being up almost 10% and Yahoo (YHOO) screaming higher and up over 19%.  The highest performing stocks are Yelp (YELP) up 8.91%, Groupon (GRPN) up 8.82%, and Salesforce (CRM) up 8.67%. The drags on the portfolio are two stocks that were in down trends (you know by now I hate to buy stocks in a down trend, but this is a mechanical portfolio…flaws and all).  Amarin (AMRN) is down 7.09% and Walter Energy (WLT) is down 4.02%. Below is a performance chart for the year and details of the current holdings. Note: Prices are from about 11:00 AM Pacific on 9/27/13. Start Date Symbol Shares Start Price Start Total End Price End Total % Gain / Loss 9/6/2013

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Internet and Social Stocks Lead Most Bullish List

Below are charts with the bullish intensity scores for the most bullish stocks on Twitter for the week and month ending 9/24/13. The broad theme of internet stocks lead the weekly list.  Yahoo (YHOO) and  Baidu (BIDU) search and content plays.  Priceline (PCLN), TripAdvisor (TRIP) , Yelp (YELP), and Groupon (GRPN) form another sub-theme of recreation and entertainment.  Then of course Facebook (FB) and Zynga (ZNGA) as social and gaming.

 
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Twitter Top 10 Makes New Highs

Most Bullish Stocks on Twitter Portfolio Performance

The Twitter Top 10 Portfolio is up 3.72% from the first Friday this month. That puts it up 29% from the first Friday of the year.  The strong performance so far this month comes from several stocks being up nearly 10% or more.  They are Yahoo (YHOO), Salesforce.com (CRM), Yelp (YELP), and Groupon (GRPN).  Only one stock, Amarin (AMRN) is causing a significant drag being down 10.29%.  Below is a performance chart and details of this month’s holdings. Start Date Symbol Shares Start Price Start Total End Price End Total % Gain / Loss 9/6/2013 $LNKD 50 253.22 12661.00 243.39 12169.50 -3.88% $DDD 251 51.98 13046.98 53 13303.00 1.96% $YELP 197 62.4 12292.80 70.15 13819.55 12.42% $GRPN 1145 10.77 12331.65 12.51 14323.95 16.16% $BBY 333 37.02 12327.66 38.88 12947.04 5.02% $AMRN 1716 7.19 12338.04 6.45 11068.20 -10.29% $WLT 840 14.69 12339.60 14.15 11886.00 -3.68% $KORS 163 75.7 12339.10 75.97 12383.11 0.36% $YHOO 438 28.17 12338.46 30.85 13512.30 9.51% $CRM 255 48.47 12359.85 53.31 13594.05 9.99% Cash 27.51 27.51 Totals 124402.65

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