Precious metals stocks are showing the most negative bearish intensity reading on Twitter this week. Another thing to note are securities related to Brazil (EWZ, PBR). Below are chart with the bearish intensity scores for the most bearish stocks on Twitter for the week and month ending 12/3/13.
The counter trend bounce signal that was issued for Silver (SLV) on 10/18/13 has now been closed. As I warned, counter trend bounces in the precious metals have mostly been failures over the life of the signal even though price almost always traded higher. This was another instance for very nimble traders.
Below are charts with the bullish intensity scores for the most bullish stocks on Twitter for the week and month ending 10/22/13.
For all you precious metals fans, sorry I missed a counter trend bounce signal for the iShares Silver Trust (SLV) on 10/16/13. I saw it on Friday (10/18/13) so the chart is marked as such. Sentiment for Randgold Resources (GOLD) issued a counter trend bounce signal at the close on Friday (10/18/13). Sentiment generated from the Twitter stream has painted a positive divergence with price as it made a lower low and has subsequently broken the down trend line that was confirming the move into the last low. The fact that both SLV and GLD are issuing counter trend bounce signals adds a bit of weight to the possibility for a bounce in the entire precious metals space. As you know I don’t like to trade stocks in a down trend. For those of you that do please be aware of one thing. Although the counter trend bounce signals in the precious metals have almost always seen higher prices after the signal. Most of them were failures over the course
Below are charts with the intensity scores for the most active stocks on Twitter for the week and month ending 10/8/13.
Below are the intensity scores for the most active stocks on Twitter for the week and month ending 9/24/13.
Below are charts with the intensity scores of the most active stocks on Twitter for the week and month ending 9/17/13.
During the rally out of the late June low the gold ETF I track (GLD) has had confirmation from sentiment generated from the Twitter stream. Smoothed sentiment has had a good uptrend that has held on dips. It’s currently coming back to the trend line and attempting to turn up even as price has fallen over the past few days. This is a good sign, but GLD needs to bounce right here or there will be a high probability for a resumption of the down trend. Another factor that may bring heavy selling if a bounce doesn’t materialize is that GLD is sitting right on its 50 day exponential moving average. A break below that level will almost certainly trigger some stops. The gold shares ETF that I track (GDX) has a stronger sentiment pattern than GLD. Smoothed sentiment had a large positive divergence from the hard break down in price in April to the break down in June. Since that time sentiment has held its upward sloping (and confirming)
Below are charts of the intensity scores of the most active stocks on Twitter for the week and month ending 9/10/13. Here is a chart showing the status of the 50 most active stocks on Twitter.
The most active stocks on Twitter are showing the largest number of charts with bearish chart and sentiment patterns since late June and early July. 32% with bearish charts is a significant number considering the fact that the stocks tweeted the most naturally carry a bullish bias. There are also 18% with negative divergences that could turn bearish over the next several weeks unless price and sentiment moves higher. Below is a chart with the status of the 50 most active stocks on Twitter. Below that are charts with the intensity scores of of the most active stocks for the week and month ending 9/3/13.