The counter trend bounce signal for Silver (SLV) issued on 4/14/14 has been closed. This is another recent long signal that just couldn’t get any momentum.
Below are charts with the bullish intensity scores for the most bullish stocks on Twitter for the week and month ended 4/15/14.
Today at the close a counter trend bounce signal was issued for Silver (SLV) from the Twitter stream. This signal comes from fairly high levels of sentiment with a four month confirming uptrend line. The short term down trend line has been broken to the upside which creates the signal. Recent signals in the precious metals space have been short lived so be nimble if you trade against the trend. Here’s a post with details of how we use Twitter and StockTwits to trade stocks.
Over the past week the StockTwits Top 10 portfolio continued to fall. It is now down 6.74% from the first Friday of the month. Seven of the stocks in the portfolio are down more than 5% and three are down more than 10%. The largest gainer is only up 3%. If you don’t know by now, the portfolio performance should alert you that the most loved (and momentum) stocks are being sold in favor of value stocks. Although a rotation to value can suggest that investors are moving to safety, it isn’t predictive of a future market decline. There are often times in the market when momentum and growth stocks get over valued which results in money managers taking profit and moving the money to under valued stocks. They do this not from a belief that the market is going to fall, rather a belief that value will out perform growth and momentum going forward. As a result, profit taking in the most loved stocks is just one piece of
The StockTwits Top 10 portfolio fell over the past week. Like the Twitter Top 10 portfolio the stocks picked this month are stalling, consolidating, or falling even as the market moves to new highs. The lack of momentum suggest that rotation and churning is occurring in the market. Below is a performance chart and details of the current picks. Start Date Symbol Shares Start Price Start Total End Price End Total % Gain / Loss 3/7/2014 $ZNGA 1919 5.58 10708.02 5.02 9633.38 -10.04% $BIDU 58 182.04 10558.32 159.44 9247.52 -12.41% $AMD 2712 3.95 10712.40 4.09 11092.08 3.54% $SLV 533 20.08 10702.64 19.58 10436.14 -2.49% $EBAY 181 59.06 10689.86 56.97 10311.57 -3.54% $NOK 1347 7.95 10708.65 7.32 9860.04 -7.92% $REGN 32 328.11 10499.52 323.29 10345.28 -1.47% $AA 881 12.16 10712.96 12.05 10616.05 -0.90% $GE 410 26.13 10713.30 25.58 10487.80 -2.10% $ANR 2232 4.80 10713.60 4.46 9954.72 -7.08% Cash 388.91 388.91 Totals 107108.18 102373.49 -4.42%
Below are charts with the bullish intensity scores for the most bullish stocks on Twitter for the week and month ending 3/18/14.
Below are charts with the intensity scores for the most active stocks on Twitter for the week and month ended 3/18/14.
Below are charts with the bullish intensity scores for the most bullish stocks on Twitter for the week and month ended 3/18/14.
Over the past week the StockTwits Top 10 Portfolio took a pretty big hit. It was down 3.53% compared to the S&P 500 Index which only fell 1.7%. This is fairly normal behavior for a portfolio based on a relative strength / momentum / sentiment indicator and makes picks based on data that lags up to a month. Each month the picks are selected from the stocks that have the most support from the StockTwits stream over the previous month. As a result, stocks making short term tops are often selected. This is why I don’t recommend mechanical trading/investing. Instead, this portfolio is designed to illustrate that stocks with a lot of support in the StockTwits community are a good starting point for possible trades and portfolio selection. Below is a performance chart and details of the current holdings. The portfolio is up 3.3% from the first Friday of the month. Start Date Symbol Shares Start Price Start Total End Price End Total % Gain / Loss 3/7/2014 $ZNGA 1919
The StockTwits Top 10 Portfolio is up 4.48% from the first Friday in February and up 6.9% on the year. Solar stocks contributed the most to the gains with First Solar (FSLR) up 13.6% and SunPower up 12.7% on the month. It’s the first Friday of the month so it’s time for new portfolio picks. None of the stocks from last month stayed in the portfolio. Here are the symbols for the March picks. ZNGA, BIDU, AMD, SLV, EBAY, NOK, REGN, AA, GE, ANR Here are the next five stocks in the list. AIG, MS, HPQ, DIS, ABX Below is a performance chart and details of last month’s holdings. NOTE: I’ll update the details again after the close today. After the close the portfolio was up 4.64% for the February holdings. Start Date Symbol Shares Start Price Start Total End Price End Total % Gain / Loss 2/7/2014 $GILD 130 78.75 10237.50 79.58 10345.40 1.05% $CRM 166 61.55 10217.30 60.74 10082.84 -1.32% $FSLR 205 49.83 10215.15 56.11 11502.55 12.60% $SPWR